Posted: Thursday, 03 July 2008 23:53
by Dave Mindeman
Norm Coleman indirectly confirmed that speculation in oil prices is the real problem with the barrel price of oil right now. In an article in the Star Tribune:
If the energy problem is attacked on a wide number of fronts, he said, "you'd have an impact on speculation which would lower some of the [gas] price immediately, even though the technology itself may not be operational until the future."
Norm suggests that we must expand drilling in the outer continental shelf, increase nuclear energy, and promote development in alternative energy sources.
Now, alternative energy has been on the table for decades... Norm Coleman has voted to promote those sources (mostly ethanol) when he could, but the price of oil still went up. Nuclear energy has been under moratorium for quite some time....and maybe a limited expansion would be a good idea. However, that will take years and years to make a difference.... and it can only affect the price of oil in an indirect manner. The outer continental shelf has limited value also. We have millions of miles of shelf already available. Nobody really knows how much is really there. Test wells have not been very encouraging.
The bottom line is that you can say these initiatives will help all you want, but whether or not they can actually lower the price is, well, you might say "speculation".
The commodity futures in oil look at stability. Do we have a stable market? Do we have stable supply and demand? Do we have political issues that could affect the market? Are there dangerous variables involved?
To lower the price of oil, those questions have to be given solid answers. Supply, demand, and stability are all dependent on our foreign oil sources right now....because we have dragged our feet for decades on alternatives. Foreign supply is affected by terrorism, a tight fisted cartel, and simple greed by countries that do not like us. The oil futures market has lost confidence in our current policies. They don't believe the current administration can compensate for market vagaries...and they would be right.
It isn't tangible events and policies that will fix the price of gas. It can only happen with new leadership. That is something we can fix.


