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The Independence Party Might Get That 5% Yet!

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 10/08/14 18:44, Edited: 10/08/14 18:46

by Dave Mindeman

I think there is a chance that the Independence Party might get saved after all. There is an increasing possibility that Hannah Nicollet may, indeed, get that 5% for the Independence Party that can keep them afloat.

And I say that, not because I think Hannah Nicollet has been a great candidate- she hasn't....but its more about Jeff Johnson being a lackluster one.

Johnson continues to use MNSure as a line of attack, when a much more effective idea would have been how to improve MNSure. He lags way behind in money....obviously not convincing any of the big donors that he is a good investment. He has decent commercials - but they don't really say anything. Is there such a thing as a "nice" negative commercial?

Dayton has run a solid incumbent type campaign....and he has good economic data to support him. He is on a path to winning. Which puts Johnson in an awkward situation. He has a party with high negatives....unable to finance unless it comes from an outside group....and a message that is just not resonating. He is in a conundrum with independent voters.

All of that gives Hannah Nicollet that chance. Fortunately for her, the debates that are happening are including her. That's a big deal for a candidate with no money, awkward interviews, and a minimalist message. But considering that both parties have high negatives and the IP has virtually no image, they could get their 5% by default.

I think there is a good chance that 1 in 20 voters will look at the ballot and say - Hannah Nicollet? Who's she? Oh well, I don't like the other guys so she gets my X.

There you go. 5% and party saved.
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Tom Horner: IP, GOP, Me - Me - Me

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 09/09/14 14:03

by Dave Mindeman

The turn-coat rats are abandoning ship.

Tom Horner was the Independence Party candidate for Governor in 2010. He told us that the Republican Party had left him and that the new brand of the fiscally responsible - socially moderate Independence Party was the future of politics in Minnesota.

But that was four years ago.

Sensing the imminent demise of the IP, Horner jumps ship and latches onto his old stomping grounds in the GOP. And since Jeff Johnson is desperate enough to need him, we get a press conference that merges their moderate images as the face of the "conservative" MN Republican Party.

The IP has a governor candidate that they actually support and put on their website (as opposed to their Senate candidate), but when the candidate who was their standard bearer 4 years ago endorses the GOP candidate....well, it kinda looks bad.

Of course, Tom Horner has always been an opportunist. He jumped the GOP ship in 2010 when it looked like he could elevate the IP into debate status. It gave him an automatic platform and lots of press coverage. In other words, this is a case of "it's all about me".

Minnpost had an article outlining Horner and his views. Below are the big three policy mantras from Horner:

On education: "A good case is all day kindergarten. Of course it's a fine idea but if you're going to spend $135 million to get kids ready, to get ready for jobs, where is the most valuable return on our money? I think Jeff Johnson is much more likely to [ask that question] rather than Mark Dayton."

On taxes: "I wasn't opposed to raising more revenue, but the way the governor went about it is not in the best long-term interest of Minnesota. Just adding fourth tier only reinforces a tax system that isn't suited to a global market. Maybe we need more revenue but tilt the policy much more to tax consumption and more to reward investment."

On health care: "MnSure is where Republicans could play an effective role. It's good that we're expanding access and covering children and have a more robust marketplace. Now how do we control the underlying drivers of health care?"


There are some phrases in there that I would think the MN GOP conservatives will like a lot.....

All day kindergarten - "a fine idea".....since nobody in the GOP supported it, I guess that sets Horner apart. He quickly moves to the funding issue to get himself in line with Johnson.

"I wasn't opposed to raising more revenue".....oops. That is NOT a good talking point for today's GOP. Horner disagrees with the method not the concept. How about you, Jeff Johnson?

On healthcare - again, wrong words - "It's good we're expanding access and covering children".......whoa - you get the impression that Horner might even "like" MNSure. No words of repeal there. Yikes!

My guess is that Johnson is fine with Horner endorsing him - now he'll quickly move him off stage and out of the way.

And the IP continues its death spiral.
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Another Case In Point Re: The Weakness Of The Independence Party

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 09/01/14 11:52

by Dave Mindeman

I have been talking about the Independence Party way more than is really necessary, but I want to note one more thing that is an illustration of what they keep getting wrong.

The debacle with a Tea Party nut winning the IP primary for Senate was bad enough, but the optics have gotten more blurred with this...

Tom Erickson;@TJErickson
Former Independence Party Chair Jack Uldrich and former IP Congressional candidate David Dillion endorse @MikeForMN
(Mike McFadden)

Now Dillon and Uldrich can certainly endorse whomever they wish, but if the Independence Party had any kind of communications office, they would be quick to point out that these guys do not represent the IP in any official capacity. Uldrich is a former chair and Dillion is a former Congressional candidate.

By allowing this to move into the press without comment is yet another IP mistake. Their home page still does not offer any kind of explanation of why their Senate candidate is not there. And now that the previous Chair of the Party and a former candidate have endorsed the GOP nominee, it sends a very mixed message.

Again, Uldrich and Dillon are free to endorse whom they wish but the McFadden campaign is going to utilize these gentlemans former status as a method of sending out a message to Independence Party voters.

A message which the official IP Communications office (if they have one) should refute or at the very least give a detailed explanation. It is also an opportunity to get free media.

If Mike McFadden is deemed acceptable by the IP (even if by default), then they are allowing the differences they have with the major parties to again get blurred and co-opted.

In general, this isn't going to mean a whole lot in the big scheme of things. But it does point to another flaw in the Independence Party.
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