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Progressive Politics in Minnesota, the Nation, and the World

Norm Coleman -- Head of the RNC?

Category: Norm Coleman
Posted: 07/22/10 17:16, Edited: 07/22/10 17:17

by Dave Mindeman

Yikes.....there he is again. He's baaaaaack.

http://www.mnpact.org/sblog/upload/coleman.jpg

Just like a bad penny, Norm Coleman finds a way to turn up...again and again. This time he's looking to oust Michael Steele and run the entire Republican Party.

You just can't keep a good chameleon down.

This is going to require some more deft position changes and sleight of issue hand. Norm has never been a conservative favorite, but just watch....Norm will be a Bachmann type clone before you know it. He has a good six months to turn himself into yet another personna.

No problem for Norm. Not at all.
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Seifert or Emmer = Democrat Win

Category: Norm Coleman
Posted: 01/19/10 00:40

by Dave Mindeman

Now that Norm Coleman has made his decision and practically every person in the world has given us their opinion, let's go for one more.

Here's my opinion.

Minnesota will have a Democratic Governor elected in 2010.

Now, I realize that nowhere in that sentence do you see Norm Coleman's name, but Norm's decision is a pretty direct translation.

Now, it would be a little foolish to say that without some kind of explanation, so here goes.

Without Norm Coleman in the race....

a) The GOP nominee will be either Marty Seifert or Tom Emmer. A contest between the two of them will be causing them to fall all over each other grabbing for the farthest right slot. Besides I can't think of Seifert without remembering his dalliance with pirates. Arrrgh!

b) So far, the Independence Party has not come up with a strong enough name to be a deciding factor. Most of the candidates in the past have had somewhat liberal leanings and siphoned off Democratic votes. Right now, the top prospect is Tom Horner, who will be a bigger drawing card for siphoning off moderate Republicans from the GOP.

c) Contrary to the conventional wisdom, I don't see the Democratic candidate moving (or perceived) as far to the left as is being surmised. With the probability of a primary challenge a virtual certainty, the Dems will have to make a broader appeal much earlier than the GOP candidate. This will give the Democratic candidate (and right now it doesn't matter who it is), the advantage of broader statewide appeal.

d) It is also doubtful that the Republicans will be able to substantially outraise the Democrats in money. Norm Coleman could have presented a challenge in that regard -- the rest of the field will have a tougher time. Big donors will be more concerned with Congressional or Senate races. The GOP field wasn't attracting the big money before Norm's announcement -- and even if they were holding back to see what he would do, that doesn't necessarily mean there will be an enthusiastic outpouring now....it's still the same field they were hesitant about.

e) There will be no GOP primary battle. Republicans think this is a good thing, but even if Norm would have lost in a primary, the attention would have given Seifert or Emmer some serious name recognition. And they need it. The Democrats may have to fight it out, but the media attention will be focused on them and if the winner has the money to stay with it into the general election.... well, same result..... Democrat wins.

Now, I also say all this knowing full well that the Democrats will probably have a tough year nationwide. However, the anti-incumbant feelings in the Minnesota Governor's race could just as well fall on the GOP banner. Pawlenty has had 8 years... and they have not been particularly stellar years. And I don't see any "new" messages coming out of Seifert or Emmer.

It's too late for someone else to get in. It's Seifert or Emmer.

Democrat wins.

comments (1) permalink

Where Norm Coleman Goes, Controversy is Sure to Follow

Category: Norm Coleman
Posted: 01/12/10 10:40

by Dave Mindeman

Doug Grow, Minnpost, posted an interview with Republican Pat Anderson about her switch to the auditors race. The curious reason for her switch was apparently because she believes Norm Coleman will get into the race and that seems to have necessitated an exit for her.

Wherever Norm Coleman goes -- controversy ensues.

His entire career has been full of contradictions and political blood letting. He really knows how to set people off.

As a Democratic Mayor of St. Paul he got the support of Democrats and the disdain of Democrats. He went from Paul Wellstone supporter to his opponent in Paul's final election.

As Ron Eibensteiner pointed out, he was involved in the races that brought us Jesse Ventura and Al Franken. And the only state wide race he won came when Democrats were in disarray after the tragic plane crash of Paul Wellstone.

Now, even after a long and bitter Senate re-election fight, the controversies still follow him. Now it looks like he will try to reemerge his political career in the midst of the Tea Partiers. A group that is not so sure they want Norm Coleman.

The push back is evident. The grumbling is not so hidden. Norm is gearing up for another run that again, will be as controversial as all the others.

But never bet against the chameleon. He has reinvented himself countless times. He is the master of the nuance....the position change....the "different strokes for different folks".

He can be the populist, the corporatist, the conservative bastion, or the moderate appealer. Norm has been, and has done, it all.

This might be the final chapter in the Norm Coleman saga. If he decides to move into the GOP Governor's race in 2010, it will be with echoes of his beginnings. He will be attempting to lead a party that has grown weary of him. He will be assembling big money party elites to oppose the party's grass roots wing. He will be cloaking himself in yet another personna.

Norm is certainly a career politician, but he still has a flair for the melodramatic.
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